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The SAG Awards 2025 are landing later than usual, with the ceremony set to take place after final Oscar voting has concluded and just one week before Hollywood\u2019s biggest night. That\u2019s not to say Sunday\u2019s glitzy awards show, which will stream live on Netflix, won\u2019t have a significant impact on some of the season\u2019s most competitive categories.<\/p>\n
The actors\u2019 guild can signal key shifts in momentum and where the true passion lies among the biggest branch in the Academy. Adrien Brody<\/strong> has thus far been near undefeated for his performance, but SAG loved A Complete Unknown<\/em> far more than The Brutalist,<\/em> so we expect Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet<\/strong> to put up more of a fight here. Similarly, if there were anywhere for Ariana Grande<\/strong> to dent the momentum of Zoe Salda\u00f1a,<\/strong> look to the voters who loved Wicked<\/em> so much they even nominated Jonathan Bailey.<\/strong><\/p>\n Over on the TV side, meanwhile, Awards Insider expects yet another big night for Sh\u014dgun,<\/em> Baby Reindeer,<\/em> and Hacks<\/em>\u2014but newbies like Nobody Wants This<\/em> have a shot at creating just a little bit of intrigue.<\/p>\n Below, see our predictions for every category.<\/p>\n A Complete Unknown<\/em> I suppose I\u2019ll have to eat my shoe if I am once again underestimating Anora<\/em> here. After it won the top prize at PGA, DGA, and Critics Choice, Anora could easily pick up this award from the actors as well. If it does, it is a lock for best picture. But the SAG voters usually go for a very ensemble-y film here, which Anora<\/em> is not. The SAG choice often lines up with the best-picture winner: They picked Oppenheimer, Everything Everywhere All at Once, CODA,<\/em> and Parasite.<\/em> And when it doesn\u2019t, they\u2019ve gone with films that have big casts like Black Panther<\/em> or Hidden Figures.<\/em> So while Anora<\/em> has quite a few actors, it has often felt like Mikey Madison<\/strong> is a bit more out front. The other two front-runners here are Wicked<\/em> and Conclave.<\/em> Wicked<\/em> is very well-liked by this group, earning the most noms overall with five. Conclave<\/em>, which won the ensemble award at the Critics Choice Awards, has a strong cast with many veteran actors and showcases the sort of delicious performances that other actors admire. A Complete Unknown<\/em> also racked up four nominations, and could even win here for its talented cast, who sang their hearts out. The only film we can safely count out is Emilia P\u00e9rez,<\/em> assuming that many voters will wait until close to the February 21 deadline to vote and, therefore, were aware of the scandal surrounding star Karla Sof\u00eda Gasc\u00f3n<\/strong>‘s offensive tweets and controversial comments after the fact. Other than Anora,<\/em> every other film here could really use this win to keep their hopes of best picture alive. I\u2019m rooting for Wicked<\/em> to keep this race interesting. \u2014Rebecca Ford<\/em><\/p>\n Adrien Brody, The Brutalist<\/em> This race has been between Chalamet and Brody for months\u2014or at least, that\u2019s what we, hoping for intrigue, would like to believe. The fact is that Brody has run the table thus far, taking home the Golden Globe, the Critics Choice Award, and the lion\u2019s share of smaller, regional prizes. My feeling is that if Chalamet hopes to win the Oscar, this is his make-or-break moment\u2014SAG has always been a relatively friendly audience to studio-produced biopics; in retrospect, when Austin Butler<\/strong> lost in this category for Elvis<\/em> a few years ago, his Oscar bid was effectively doomed. Brody\u2019s candidacy, meanwhile, remains viable without it, given how well he\u2019s fared already.<\/p>\n<\/div>\nBest Motion Picture Ensemble<\/h2>\n
Anora<\/em>
Conclave<\/em>
Emilia<\/em> P\u00e9rez<\/em>
WINNER: Wicked<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\nBest Male Actor in a Leading Role, Motion Picture<\/h2>\n
WINNER: Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet, A Complete Unknown<\/em><\/strong>
Daniel Craig, Queer<\/em>
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing<\/em>
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave<\/em><\/p>\n