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First, a reminder: the Emmys 2024 haven\u2019t actually happened yet. The Emmy Awards held this past January<\/a> were in fact honoring TV shows released between June 2022 and May 2023; they were handed out in 2024 only because the 2023 WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes pushed the ceremony out of<\/a> its usual September perch. So: Now that that\u2019s<\/em> out of the way, which TV series should we expect to walk away with nominations for the actual<\/em> Emmys 2024? VF<\/em>\u2019s experts have educated guesses for every major category.<\/p>\n Abbott Elementary<\/em> Five returning nominees here feel fairly locked in. We\u2019ll start with reigning champ The Bear,<\/em> which\u2014while a bit more dramatic than your average comedy-series contender\u2014has swept races<\/a> not just at the Emmys, but at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice Awards, and various industry guilds. It\u2019s the front-runner. After a two-year hiatus, Max\u2019s Hacks<\/em> returned triumphant and has emerged as the primary challenger with its series-best season three. Abbott Elementary<\/em> and Only Murders in the Building<\/em> have been Emmy mainstays for their first seasons too, and will comfortably return to the fold for their own strong third seasons. Curb Your Enthusiasm<\/em> meanwhile is up for its final season<\/a> more than 20 years after its first nod in this category.<\/p>\n After that, things get tricky. The big remaining streamers each have one newbie they\u2019d love to sneak in, with each carrying obvious advantages and disadvantages. Apple TV+ has Palm Royale,<\/em> the starriest and most heavily marketed of the bunch. But it\u2019s designated \u201crotten\u201d on Rotten Tomatoes and faded in visibility over the spring. Prime Video\u2019s I\u2019m a Virgo<\/em> was severely underseen\u2014and aired a full year ago\u2014but ranked among the best-reviewed shows in 2023. The best-positioned may be Netflix\u2019s The Gentlemen,<\/em> which, while not an obvious awards play on its face\u2014Guy Ritchie<\/strong> hasn\u2019t exactly been in the Academy\u2019s conversation ever\u2014was a success for the streamer that critics also embraced.<\/p>\n Can all three freshmen get in? Those first two face especially tough hurdles, especially when past nominee What We Do in the Shadows<\/em> is a proven hit with the TV Academy, and another acclaimed FX half-hour, Reservation Dogs,<\/em> is on its last chance for its final season\u2014after being completely snubbed above the line until now, no less. Maybe, given the scattered nature of the field, enough voters have come around for Reservation Dogs<\/em> to sneak in. \u2014David Canfield<\/em><\/p>\n Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm<\/em> This category is straightforward. Jeremy Allen White<\/strong> will be back for The Bear<\/em>\u2019s second season, primed to win once again. The only other 2023 nominee on the ballot is Only Murders in the Building<\/em>\u2019s Martin Short,<\/strong> so expect him to return as well. His costar, Steve Martin,<\/strong> fell off after being nominated for season one, but I\u2019d bet on him finding his way back as a nominee\u2014along with Curb<\/em>\u2019s Larry David,<\/strong> also snubbed for his most recent season\u2014given the lack of alternatives. The most viable of them is The Gentlemen<\/em>\u2019s Theo James,<\/strong> seeing as he\u2019s fresh off his first Emmy nod for The White Lotus<\/em> and The Gentlemen<\/em> found a significant audience. You could argue past Emmy winner Jharrel Jerome<\/strong> stands a shot for his terrific work in I\u2019m a Virgo,<\/em> or that Kelsey Grammer<\/strong> could get checked off for the Frasier<\/em> revival, but I\u2019m not convinced either series is on the TV Academy\u2019s radar enough to put their leads ahead of a rather obvious five. \u2014DC<\/em><\/p>\n Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary<\/em> We\u2019ve got a race here, as three of the presumed nominees are coming off wins for their respective roles. Jean Smart<\/strong> won for Hacks<\/em> two years ago, before taking off the last cycle. In her place, Quinta Brunson<\/strong> took home the gold for Abbott Elementary<\/em>. Ayo Edebiri<\/strong> won the supporting-actress prize for The Bear<\/em>\u2019s first season, but this time around is bumping up to lead. All three are certain at least to make it to nominations. Beyond them? Even when Only Murders<\/em> was at its hottest, voters snubbed Selena Gomez,<\/strong> so although this is her best chance, it remains a climb. It\u2019s unclear just how many Academy members watched\u2014and for that matter, liked\u2014Apple\u2019s relevant contenders, Palm Royale<\/em> and Loot,<\/em> but both Kristen Wiig<\/strong> and Maya Rudolph<\/strong> are Academy favorites. Their charming, consistent runs<\/a> on the campaign trail these last few months may just be enough to get them into the race. For those looking outside the box, I\u2019d hope Netflix\u2019s push for Girls5Eva<\/em> nets Renee Elise Goldsberry<\/strong> the nod she\u2019s been unfairly denied thus far. It\u2019s one of the best comic performances on TV. \u2014DC<\/em><\/p>\nCOMEDY SERIES<\/strong><\/h2>\n
The Bear<\/em>
Curb Your Enthusiasm<\/em>
The Gentlemen<\/em>
Hacks<\/em>
Only Murders in the Building<\/em>
Reservation Dogs<\/em>
What We Do in the Shadows<\/em><\/p>\nACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Theo James, The Gentlemen<\/em>
Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building<\/em>
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building<\/em>
Jeremy Allen White, The Bear<\/em><\/p>\nACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Ayo Edebiri, The Bear<\/em>
Maya Rudolph, Loot<\/em>
Jean Smart, Hacks<\/em>
Kristen Wiig, Palm Royale<\/em><\/p>\nSUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES<\/strong><\/h2>\n