September15 , 2025

    Emmy Predictions 2025: ‘Severance,’ ‘Penguin’ Set to Win Big

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    Nate Bargatze will host the 2025 Emmy Awards on Sunday night.

    And while the monologue is sure to pack plenty of laughs, most viewers will be tuning in to see who goes home with the gold on television’s biggest night.

    Apple TV’s Severance leads the pack with a whopping 27 nominations.

    Adam Scott on ‘Severance’ Season 2. (Apple TV+)

    HBO Max’s The Penguin follows with 24 nominations, while The Studio and The White Lotus are tied for third with 23 nominations each.

    So who will win the night’s top prizes?

    Scroll on for predictions that’ll make you the resident expert at your Emmys party!

    Limited Series or TV Movie
    Adolescence, Netflix
    Black Mirror, Netflix
    Dying for Sex, FX/Hulu
    Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story, Netflix
    The Penguin, HBO

    Predicted Winner: Adolescence. The topical and innovative British series should run away with this one.

    Lead Actor, Limited Series or TV Movie
    Colin Farrell, The Penguin
    Stephen Graham, Adolescence
    Jake Gyllenhaal, Presumed Innocent
    Brian Tyree Henry, Dope Thief
    Cooper Koch, Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story

    Predicted Winner: Colin Farrell. Farrell’s total transformation makes him the clear favorite here.

    Colin Farrell speaks onstage during the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards at Peacock Theater on September 15, 2024 in Los Angeles, California.
    Colin Farrell speaks onstage during the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards at Peacock Theater on September 15, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)

    Lead Actress, Limited Series or TV Movie
    Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer
    Meghann Fahy, Sirens
    Rashida Jones, Black Mirror
    Cristin Milioti, The Penguin
    Michelle Williams, Dying for Sex

    Predicted Winner: Cristin Milioti. Milioti’s acclaimed performance as Gotham’s gangster queen makes her the biggest favorite of the night.

    Drama Series
    Andor, Disney+
    The Diplomat, Netflix
    The Last of Us, HBO
    Paradise, Hulu
    The Pitt, HBO Max
    Severance, Apple TV+
    Slow Horses, Apple TV+
    The White Lotus, HBO

    Predicted Winner: Severance. Expect the night’s most-nominated show to walk away with this one.

    Lead Actor
    Sterling K. Brown, Paradise
    Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
    Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
    Adam Scott, Severance
    Noah Wyle, The Pitt

    Predicted Winner: This is the sixth nomination for Wyle, and it’s likely to be his first win.

    Noah Wyle attends the HBO Max Emmy Nominee Celebration at NYA WEST on August 17, 2025 in Hollywood, California.
    Noah Wyle attends the HBO Max Emmy Nominee Celebration at NYA WEST on August 17, 2025 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by David Jon/Getty Images for HBO Max)

    Lead Actress
    Kathy Bates, Matlock
    Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters
    Britt Lower, Severance
    Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
    Keri Russell, The Diplomat

    Predicted Winner: Kathy Bates. Academy favorite Bates is a virtual shoo-in to win her third Emmy.

    Supporting Actor
    Zach Cherry, Severance
    Walton Goggins, The White Lotus
    Jason Isaacs, The White Lotus
    James Marsden, Paradise
    Sam Rockwell, The White Lotus
    Tramell Tillman, Severance
    John Turturro, Severance

    Predicted Winner: Walton Goggins. It’s been Goggins’ year. Expect the dominance to continue tonight.

    Supporting Actress
    Patricia Arquette, Severance
    Carrie Coon, The White Lotus
    Katherine LaNasa, The Pitt
    Julianne Nicholson, Paradise
    Parker Posey, The White Lotus
    Natasha Rothwell, The White Lotus
    Aimee Lou Wood, The White Lotus

    Most Likely to Win: Carrie Coon. The White Lotus cast was stacked, but Coon gave the most memorable performance.

    Carrie Coon attends the 20th Century Studios' "Boston Strangler" New York Screening at Museum of Modern Art on March 14, 2023 in New York City.
    Carrie Coon attends the 20th Century Studios’ “Boston Strangler” New York Screening at Museum of Modern Art on March 14, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images)

    Comedy Series
    Abbott Elementary, ABC
    The Bear, FX/Hulu
    Hacks, HBO Max
    Nobody Wants This, Netflix
    Only Murders in the Building, Hulu
    Shrinking, Apple TV+
    The Studio, Apple TV+
    What We Do in the Shadows, FX

    Predicted Winner: The Studio. Hollywood loves a Hollywood show, and The Studio has earned a lot of fans within the industry.

    Lead Actor, Comedy Series
    Adam Brody, Nobody Wants This
    Seth Rogen, The Studio
    Jason Segel, Shrinking
    Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
    Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

    Predicted Winner: Seth Rogen. Expect Rogen’s epic year to continue with a big win.

    Lead Actress, Comedy Series
    Uzo Aduba, The Residence
    Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This
    Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
    Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
    Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face
    Jean Smart, Hacks

    Predicted Winner: Jean Smart. The Emmys love Jean Smart. This would be her seventh win.

    Jean Smart, winner of the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series for
    Jean Smart, winner of the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series for “Hacks”, poses in the press room during the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards at Peacock Theater on September 15, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Frazer Harrison/Getty Images)

    Supporting Actor, Comedy Series
    Ike Barinholtz, The Studio
    Colman Domingo, The Four Seasons
    Harrison Ford, Shrinking
    Jeff Hiller, Somebody Somewhere
    Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear
    Michael Urie, Shrinking
    Bowen Yang, Saturday Night Live

    Predicted Winner: Ike Barinholtz. It’s hard to overstate The Studio’s appeal within the industry. Barinholtz is a virtual lock here.

    Supporting Actress, Comedy Series
    Liza Colón-Zayas, The Bear
    Hannah Einbinder, Hacks
    Kathryn Hahn, The Studio
    Janelle James, Abbott Elementary
    Catherine O’Hara, The Studio
    Sheryl Lee Ralph, Abbott Elementary
    Jessica Williams, Shrinking

    Predicted Winner: Hannah Einbinder. Hacks has a history of cleaning up at the Emmys. Expect that to continue tonight.

    Emmy Predictions 2025: ‘Severance,’ ‘Penguin’ Set to Win Big was originally published on The Hollywood Gossip.



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